Here, the conditions are right and there is a higher change of a rubber stamp forget the laws and proper conditions not being met. Why did they pick October? Elections are coming in November, and new congress in January might be much more oversight-y than what is there now. No one should be thinking the merger won't be approved, they should be thinking and acting as if it will be and the time to start suing and get in there before. Because Ellison and people will move quickly to make sure that once approval happens they will make sure it will be hard to tear apart if a court changes things. Nexstar did the same thing, that Friday the court made a decision was the closest because they were going quick into absorbing Tegna.
The people who want to challenge it have shot clock and need to work on it , make an iron case enough to get it slowed down. My main point is don't think that this is a normal merger attempt with normal actors and normal processes, it's not.
Always glad I figured him out pretty early back when the bids for Paramount were happening in the first place. And was against him owning Paramount.
Speaking of elections, greasing the wheels for the Ellisons in exchange for Skydance providing Trump admin-friendly coverage is why this isn't normal at all .
Larry & David personally made these guarantees of changes to CNN in the same way CBS News's editorial direction was realigned during their the Oval Office visits and that's why they're being served what they want on a platter.
That also includes paying the WH a $10B brokering payment for the Ellisons buying part of TikTok US.
"But the Ellisons seem to be working hard to appease the credit-rating agencies’ concerns about the
nearly $80 billion of the combined companies’ debt."
No comment.
There's also more details on what their debt slashing pledges were promising the banks and the credit agencies:
"In a recent filing with the S.E.C., the Ellisons disclosed that Paramount “communicated” to various ratings agencies that it is the Ellisons’ and RedBird’s “plan and commitment” to “deliver below a net debt to adjusted EBITDA multiple of 3.75x by fiscal year 2028 and a net debt to adjusted EBITDA multiple of 3.0x by fiscal year 2029, and that they will take steps to deliver the deleveraging targets.”
The Ellisons also made commitments for PSKY/WBD to achieve $1.8 billion of the $6 billion of expected “synergies” in the first year post-closing and $4.2 billion in the second. Noted, David! (Usual disclosure: Through a recent transaction, RedBird is a minority investor in Puck; Zaz became a de minimis investor through the same deal.)"
I can definitely think of some unforseen macroeconomic events that's mentioned here:
"Barring an unforeseen macroeconomic event, the underwriters appear very optimistic that the $49 billion of new debt will be a blockbuster.
Of course, part of that enthusiasm derives from the fact that Larry Ellison—and, to a far lesser degree, RedBird Capital—has agreed to underwrite another $47 billion in new equity financing, no matter what.
Yes, Larry will be trying to get several Middle East sovereign wealth fund partners to help, but he is nevertheless on the hook for all the equity—thanks to David Zaslav & Co.’s clever negotiation with PSKY earlier this year. What’s more, if solvency ever becomes an issue during the financing, Larry has agreed to inject even more equity."
Whether they do happen in time for the pursuit's financing to completely collapse remains to be seen.